http://www.thecityedition.com/Pages/Archive/2009/2012_Doomsday_Prediction.html

Please note the emoticon. Meant as a joke. Book is very good.

Who is giving up? I am concerned/worried about things I have control over. I have at least three months of supplies for my family and the means to defend ourselves. I try not to depend on anyone but my immediate family.

Damn you Mole Men!

Something like Yellowstone blows and your not going to be able to do much about it. Doomsday rock hits the planet. Gamma ray burst scours the planet sterile. Plain and simple. You can’t do a damn thing about it. Not advocating “Don’t worry…be happy”. Just live life to the best you can. Me, I’m planning on buying a 50 foot motorsailer in about 5 years and taking the wife and kid around the world a few times. If the planet explodes, oh well. At least I have a worthwhile goal to strive for.

I don’t really know much about geology, but as a former meteorologist I’m well aware of the influence of changes in technology when comparing historical events (see, e.g., the number of tornadoes reported in 1900 vs. 2000). That being said, I would think that improvements in earthquake detection could play a significant role if we were discussing the number of quakes LESS THAN 2.5 in magnitude, but I’d like to think that we were pretty good at detecting earthquakes GREATER THAN 2.5 back in 1980. Any geologists out there care to chime in?

I don’t think Radley is fear-mongering. I think he just has the same fascination with this that many of us do, but he has a blog with several thousand readers that he can post to.

Meanwhile, James Pethokoukis of U.S. News & World Report notes that over the last 10 years there have been 128 earthquakes of magnitude 2.5 or greater in the Yellowstone area, and there were just four such quakes in the entire 1980

I wonder if the uptick in quakes detected compared to the 80’s is just because we have better monitoring now. You may not be comparing apples to apples. Greens do this crap all the time in claiming a rise in tornados that, oddly enough, exactly corresponds to the rise in our monitoring stations.

These three big eruptions were 640,000 years ago, 660,000 years earlier, and 800,000 years before that. See a pattern? Lurid reports suggest we’re almost due, even overdue, but the pattern is illusory. Over the past 4.5 million years, large Yellowstone eruptions have come at irregular intervals of 300,000 to 2.4 million years. Furthermore, a series of smaller eruptions (relatively; one was Krakatoa-esque in magnitude) between 170,000 and 70,000 years ago ejected as much material as a super — perhaps enough to relieve the pressure, and danger, for a while.

Can we now put this to bed? I mean really, are we really that low in intelligence that we have to still sit around and scare ourselves silly to the point of stupid action when there is little reason too?

What’s the chance of a supereruption anywhere in the world in the next 50 years? Estimates range from one chance in 1,000 to one in 10,000 — hardly cause for panic.

That’s it I’m buying a gun and heading to the mountains. Anybody comes to the door I shoot first and second and hell the third time’s the charm! Then I’ll ask who you are.

I think we have more to fear from our own government agents.

Thus, an “8″ is 100,000 times more powerful than a “3,” if I did the math right. So you’d need more than 100,000 “2.5’s” to equal an “8.”