Comments on: Predictions

By: David

David — Wed, 05 Nov 2008 06:23:24 +0000

There’s going to be a lot of people with egg on their faces about midnight tonight.

Want a towel?

By: GreginOz

GreginOz — Wed, 05 Nov 2008 01:45:32 +0000

Am at work in Sydney, Australia. The radio is reporting a probable McCain win. It is now…12.44pm, 5th Nov, 08 here.

By: Dave Krueger

Dave Krueger — Wed, 05 Nov 2008 00:08:54 +0000

#44 James D |

Dave, if you REALLY blame the current financial mess on largely the Republicans, then you are just not paying attention to the history of this mess.

I hold the Republicans only party responsible for creating the mess, but 100% responsible for doing nothing to prevent it.

By: James D

James D — Tue, 04 Nov 2008 23:43:14 +0000

Dave, if you REALLY blame the current financial mess on largely the Republicans, then you are just not paying attention to the history of this mess.

By: Dave Krueger

Dave Krueger — Tue, 04 Nov 2008 23:23:42 +0000

The election shouldn’t even be close. The Republicans should lose by at least a triple digit margin. In fact, they should be staying home in droves out of embarrassment and sorrow for what they have done to the country. They should be signing over their paychecks to offset the huge financial nightmare they left us and pleading for forgiveness after destroying civil rights that had been earned by the blood of our forefathers.

Fortunately for them, the competition is equally pathetic so they don’t really stand out from the rest of the population.

By: Phelps

Phelps — Tue, 04 Nov 2008 21:40:39 +0000

Any strategy based on the yoot vote is made of fail.

Any strategy based on record turnout of any group is made of fail.

Obama’s strategy relies on both of these, and is therefore made of fail. There’s going to be a lot of people with egg on their faces about midnight tonight.

By: catastrophile

catastrophile — Tue, 04 Nov 2008 21:30:48 +0000

Letting Lieberman keep his committee assignments doesn’t guarantee he’ll vote for cloture. If anything, it’ll just prolong the inevitable.

Indeed, any moderate Reeps left in the Senate would be every bit as powerful as Lieberman in the event of a near-60 Dem majority. At this point, the enmity between Lieberman and the Dem leadership is probably too pronounced to sustain an alliance at all. Now that they don’t need him to ensure majority status, I don’t know if they’ll want to keep kissing his ass.

By: Nando

Nando — Tue, 04 Nov 2008 20:59:28 +0000

I don’t care if he wins by double digits, as far as the popular vote is concerned. Hell, I don’t even care if he wins the popular vote at all. So long as he ends up with at least one more electoral vote than McSame, I’m happy.

By: Electoral College Predictions

Electoral College Predictions — Tue, 04 Nov 2008 20:55:27 +0000

[...] Radley Balko: Obama 322, McCain 216 [...]

By: ClubMedSux

ClubMedSux — Tue, 04 Nov 2008 20:43:12 +0000

I spent 22 years of my life in Indiana. There’s much to like about it. But the state still has some demons when it comes to race.

I know I’m a little late to the party, but my four years in northwest Indiana (Valpo to be specific) certainly left me with a similar impression.

By: sean

sean — Tue, 04 Nov 2008 19:52:09 +0000

It will be Obama, but by a much larger margin… (364 to 174)

http://www.intrade.com

… the markets have spoken.

By: PoliBlog (TM): A Rough Draft of my Thoughts » A Couple More Predictions

PoliBlog (TM): A Rough Draft of my Thoughts » A Couple More Predictions — Tue, 04 Nov 2008 19:44:50 +0000

[...] Balko: Predictions (Obama 322-216 + a state-by-state [...]

By: Muffin

Muffin — Tue, 04 Nov 2008 19:25:50 +0000

Radley,

Rangel isn’t from the Bronx. He’s from Harlem. Which is in Manhattan.

The Bronx Dem organization heads are currently suing each other, but that is a different story ….

By: Ben R.

Ben R. — Tue, 04 Nov 2008 19:17:51 +0000

onservative caucus of Blue Dog Democrats, which may help keep the more radical wing of the party in line.

How badly do we really want that? These Blue Dogs are the same folks that invested in Hillary Clinton and were a major driver for the newest FISA legislation (apparently you can get away with federal crimes as long as you contribute enough to the right people).

By: The Other Jeff

The Other Jeff — Tue, 04 Nov 2008 19:08:45 +0000

Regarding Minnesota, if Coleman wins, he should thank Barkley, the Independent candidate. He’s been polling at 17%, pulling twice as many people away from Franken as from Coleman.

And he got my vote. Not wanting either Franken or Coleman in DC, I was glad to have a candidate like him on the ballot.

By: Chris Farris

Chris Farris — Tue, 04 Nov 2008 18:50:00 +0000

Saxby has to get 50%+1 to win re-election. The current thought is he’ll win, but end up in a run-off. This means that the GA Senate race will be the focus of intense scrutiny during till 12/2.

As for Hank Johnson, he might not be the sharpest tool in the shed, but Georgians of all strips are glad he booted Cynthia McKinney out of Congress, and as a result holds higher than expected approval rating.

By: PSYOP

PSYOP — Tue, 04 Nov 2008 18:23:10 +0000

Right on about Saxby Chambliss! Besides being a slimeball of the 1st order, he was “100% opposed to the bailout in any and all forms!” …then he voted for it the very next day. Jim Martin has capitalized on that.

I don’t think Saxby will get the needed 50% of the vote, so it will go to a runoff. Georgia is largely Republican, but who knows how it will turn out? I hope the “farewell, and thanks for nothing”
email I sent Saxby wasn’t too hasty. I’m voting for Allen Buckley (L).

Did anyone else get a call from Hank Williams, Jr.? he called me today and wanted me to vote for McCain.

By: claude

claude — Tue, 04 Nov 2008 18:04:17 +0000

“I would be surprised if Bachman loses. When I talked to my family (i was born in the district she represents) everyone who voted for her the last time was going to vote for her again saying that she was doing a “hecka fine job”.

I live in her district now. Yeah shes our precious little nightmare. Im going to enjoy voting for the other guy later today.

By: Bill Cooke

Bill Cooke — Tue, 04 Nov 2008 17:54:22 +0000

Coming from Maryland, I have to disagree with you about Wayne Gilchrest. He was against the war, but I generally viewed him as a big government liberal Republican. Also, a few years ago when he was challenged in a primary he attacked his opponent for defending child molesters as part of his job. As a defense attorney I take exception to that. We often defend people who have been accused of terrible things. And one of the “child molesters” who his opponent represented was factually innocent. I never forgot that campaign and was delighted when Gilchest was defeated.

http://www.tobaccoland.us
http://www.undertakerpress.com

By: Pete Guither

Pete Guither — Tue, 04 Nov 2008 17:51:33 +0000

I’m not sure I agree with the Lieberman assessment. Having him as #60 could be pretty worthless for the Democrats – particularly as they are not generally that good at keeping their entire membership in line. Getting 60 votes on anything would still be unlikely without some cross-overs. In that case, why stroke Lieberman, particularly when doing so will really anger their base?